Which of the above would you prefer to have in your
pocket?? And yes… choose wisely, this is a very tricky question.
The reality is, that none of these items has any true
value at all unless common perception indicates they do, and where a mutual
belief system is established that permits the exchange of one of the tokens for
one or more of another.
For example: If the barter system is the method of
exchange, a cow or side of beef might be valued to be the same as one horse, or
possibly a goat and 10 chickens, or a pig and 5 apple pies. Whatever one trader
has, it’s worth, or worthiness depends primarily on what the other trader needs
and how badly they need it. If chickens are running about freely all over the
place, then despite how good they taste; barbecued, baked, deep fried,
chow-meined or otherwise, they won’t be worth much. However, if you were
starving and only a few of the feathery fowls were pecking about, they might be
considered as priceless!
And so it goes with the so-called money we have
conveniently substituted for all that heavy bulk transfer of cows, sheep,
chickens, pigs and pies, back and forth from the local farmer’s market. The
shells and shiny rock-like baubles we used in ages past, and originally agreed
upon communally as trade tokens for our lettuce, meat and potatos have
gradually been replaced by government authorized and appropriately controlled,
pieces of paper and other shiny metallic baubles that do exactly the same
thing.
The local market, in natural course of time and with
advances in technology, has become a global one. And now the stuff each of us
needs is traded back and forth with those monetary tokens we all work hard for,
except the bartering is also done on an internationally accepted basis; with
one form of currency fitting precisely into the value established mesh of
others like cogs in a very complicated, yet intimately connected, watch
mechanism.
Consequently, whether the tokens are US dollars,
Rubles, Yuan, Bit Coins, Pesos, Euros, Gold or Silver, it is only when everyone
accepts this same belief system and agrees that the symbols involved are worth
such and such, that those currencies become viable.
And so the question automatically rises… What
happens when a specific money token begins to be corrupted, and starts to
deteriorate; when it is finally recognized that too much of the currency note in
question is being printed, or is counterfeited, is no longer backed by anything
substantial, or is severely impacted by the financial difficulties within its
indentured partnerships, and suddenly finds itself no longer universally recognized
as having the purchase power it once had? (Does any of this sound familiar?)
At one time, each local farmer’s market was
isolated and totally independent from another. If the currency in one area went
belly up there was no bearing on any other. However today, our markets and the
currencies we use to negotiate within them are fully combined. Similar to the watch
cogs, whatever affects one spindle, cannot help but turn another, then another, and another... until the collective host is changed.
So let’s pretend that tomorrow the populace wakes
up to the realization that the current standard of international trading, the
US dollar, has become victim to many, or all of the conditions previously
mentioned, and that international markets simply don’t want it anymore… or at
the very least, begin drastically raising their US dollar purchase price for
goods in order to even out the rapid pace of that currency’s inflation (a case
of too many chickens?).
Quite naturally, items previously purchased from
China, India, or some other market now begin rolling off their assembly lines
at double, triple and quadruple their previous USD prices. Subsequently, a
different token of exchange, perhaps the Euro, Yuan or Ruble begins to jockey
for preeminence, and anyone holding handfuls of the unwanted cash begins to
trade it as quickly as possible before it fritters away to zero. (aka Zimbabwe)
Banking units within the country and those most
intricately connected, begin to freeze their shareholder’s accounts and rapidly
foreclose on mortgages and loans in effort to support the massive debts they
have over-accumulated. Depositors, attempting to withdraw their dwindling funds,
rally en mass at the cashier’s cages and cash machines of financial
institutions in vain effort to salvage their savings. Internal prices for that
country’s goods and services begin to skyrocket.
With their purchasing power rapidly weakening, the
general population divests itself of the unwanted coin and paper, and begins recouping and
hoarding anything, or any commodity, which is now perceived as being of value. Priorities
shift from the want side of the shopping list to that of the absolutely
necessary. Small and Big box retailers alike begin closing their doors due to
marked reductions in sales. Subsequent unemployment along with the general
economy of the country goes into a tail spin of potential destruction, and riots begin to break out in previously friendly and productive communities.
Prior to a collapse of the society however, government
intervenes with steps (often militant) to reduce and alleviate the chaos it has
either knowingly, or unknowingly created from its earlier expenditures. In
exchange for that increased sense of security, in a step by step process, freedoms are gradually bartered
away until control is firmly established.
Unfortunately, because the US dollar is so
universally woven into the fabric of world markets, other countries begin to
falter as part of the main (remember, no man is an island). Consequently, in response
to correct the decline, alternative financial pressures are generated which
in turn stimulate international crises and the potential of a more inclusive,
and perhaps final, war.
In eventual avoidance or termination of such
economic catastrophe, a singular stabilizing authority eventually becomes
forcefully established, or elected by acclamation, and a universal monetary token is then
stipulated to be in effect. This is done ostensibly with the most noble of intentions
and always in grand proclamation of it being for the common good.
Mankind finally becomes as one… at least
economically.
Now all the presiding authority needs to do is weed
out the riff raft, the oddballs, the dissenters, and those who disobey!!
And so, I guess the bottom line is to be very careful
in what you choose to value and in what to put your faith. J.
Article Copyright J. Michael Lyffe - 2014
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